#G7 aims take on #China without launching a new trade war – #China supply no more than 60% of #RareEarthElements

# The G7 Just Pledged to Break China’s Rare Earth Grip — There’s a Lot of Work to Do
For decades, the world’s advanced economies have enjoyed the benefits of globalization while quietly allowing a critical vulnerability to emerge: dependence on China for rare earth minerals and permanent magnets.
Now, the Group of Seven (G7) nations are finally attempting to confront that reality. At their recent summit in Evian, France, G7 leaders agreed on an ambitious goal: by 2030, no single country should account for more than 60% of their imports of rare earth elements and permanent magnets. Beyond that, they hope to reduce reliance further, targeting a 50% threshold as soon as possible.
The message is clear. The world’s leading democracies have concluded that China’s dominance over critical minerals has become both an economic and national security risk.
The challenge? Breaking that dependence may take far longer than the politicians would like.
## Why Rare Earths Matter
Rare earths are a group of 17 metallic elements that play an essential role in modern technology. On their own, these materials may seem obscure. But when processed into permanent magnets—particularly neodymium-iron-boron (NdFeB) magnets—they become indispensable.
These magnets are found in:
* Electric vehicles
* Wind turbines
* Smartphones
* Industrial robotics
* Military drones
* Precision-guided missiles
* Radar systems
* Advanced defense technologies
Their unique properties allow manufacturers to build lighter, stronger, and more energy-efficient motors and electronic systems. In other words, rare earth magnets have become one of the foundational technologies of the 21st century.
## China’s Dominance Is Overwhelming
China’s position in this market is difficult to overstate. The country currently accounts for roughly:
* 70% of global rare earth production
* Around 70% of critical mineral refining capacity
* Approximately 95% of rare earth permanent magnet manufacturing
This dominance wasn’t built overnight. For years, China invested heavily in mining, refining, processing expertise, and manufacturing infrastructure while many Western nations outsourced these activities due to environmental concerns, lower costs, and regulatory hurdles. The result is a supply chain where much of the world depends on China not merely for raw materials but for the highly specialized processing required to make those materials usable.That processing stage has become the true strategic bottleneck.
## Why the G7 Is Acting Now
The urgency stems from recent geopolitical tensions.
Over the past several years, Beijing has increasingly used export controls on critical minerals as a policy tool. Since 2020, China has imposed multiple restrictions on key materials used in defense and clean energy technologies.
Last year, China introduced sweeping export controls on rare earths and other critical minerals, raising fears that manufacturing lines across North America, Europe, and Asia could face severe disruptions.
The issue became even more visible during escalating trade disputes with the United States and amid growing tensions surrounding Taiwan.
Officials across the G7 have come to a sobering realization:
If China chose to significantly restrict exports, major sectors of the global economy could be affected almost immediately. The International Energy Agency has warned that trillions of dollars of economic activity outside China could be exposed to supply disruptions if export controls were fully implemented.
For military planners, the concern is even more immediate. Rare earth magnets are embedded in everything from fighter aircraft and missile guidance systems to surveillance drones. Dependence on a geopolitical rival for these materials creates a strategic vulnerability few governments are comfortable accepting.
## Lessons From Japan
The G7 is not the first group to recognize this problem. Japan learned the lesson more than a decade ago. In 2010, following a maritime dispute with China, Japanese companies suddenly found themselves facing restrictions on rare earth exports. Tokyo responded with a long-term strategy to diversify suppliers, invest in overseas mining projects, and build stockpiles. Yet even after more than 15 years of effort, Japan still sources roughly 75% of its rare earth imports from China.
That reality offers a sobering perspective on the G7’s latest pledge.
Diversification is possible. Rapid diversification is much harder.
## Building a Western Supply Chain
Despite the challenges, efforts are underway to create alternative supply chains. In the United States, several companies are positioning themselves as key players in what policymakers increasingly call a “mine-to-magnet” strategy.
### MP Materials
MP Materials operates Mountain Pass in California, the only commercial-scale rare earth mine in the United States.
The company has also expanded processing and magnet manufacturing capabilities in Texas and recently received significant support from the U.S. Department of Defense to strengthen domestic separation and refining capacity.
Its goal is straightforward: reduce reliance on Chinese processing and create a fully integrated American supply chain.
### USA Rare Earth
Another emerging player is USA Rare Earth. The company is developing mining, processing, and magnet manufacturing operations designed to produce rare earth permanent magnets domestically. Backed by federal incentives through the CHIPS and Science Act, the company aims to establish large-scale production capabilities and become a cornerstone of a Western rare earth ecosystem. These efforts represent important progress. But they are only the beginning.
## The Hard Part: Heavy Rare Earths
One major complication is that not all rare earths are equal. Many Western projects focus primarily on so-called “light” rare earth elements.
China, however, remains especially dominant in the production and processing of “heavy” rare earths—materials that are crucial for many advanced defense and high-performance industrial applications. Without secure access to these heavier elements, building a truly independent magnet supply chain remains difficult. Industry experts caution that current Western investments, while encouraging, do not yet solve this deeper problem.
## Obstacles Ahead
The G7’s target may be politically appealing, but achieving it will require overcoming significant obstacles.
### Capital Requirements
Mining and refining projects require billions of dollars in investment before they produce meaningful output.
### Regulatory Challenges
Permitting new mines can take years, particularly in North America and Europe.
### Environmental Concerns
Rare earth extraction and refining are energy-intensive and can create substantial environmental impacts if not carefully managed.
### Community Opposition
Many proposed mining projects face local resistance regardless of their strategic importance.
### Technical Expertise
China’s advantage isn’t just geological.
It also possesses decades of accumulated processing knowledge, engineering expertise, and industrial capacity that cannot be replicated overnight.
## More Than Mining
Recognizing these realities, G7 leaders are discussing additional measures beyond simply opening new mines.
These include:
* Expanding recycling of rare earth materials
* Developing strategic stockpiles
* Supporting refining and processing facilities
* Creating industrial procurement quotas
* Coordinating investments across allied nations
Defense manufacturing may become a particular focus, with governments potentially requiring portions of critical materials to come from non-Chinese sources. Such policies could help create the guaranteed demand necessary for new projects to attract financing.
## The Bottom Line
The G7’s commitment marks one of the strongest collective efforts yet to reduce dependence on China for critical minerals. The goal is ambitious, and perhaps necessarily so. Without clear targets, governments and industries often fail to act. But ambition alone will not be enough.
China’s dominance in rare earths was built over decades through sustained investment, industrial policy, and strategic planning. Reversing that dominance will require the same level of long-term commitment from the United States, Europe, Japan, and their allies.
The good news is that the process has begun. The difficult reality is that diversification is not a five-year project—it may be a generation-long effort.
The G7 has taken an important first step.
Now comes the hard part: turning a political pledge into a functioning supply chain.
